Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.

Result
Brescia	Draw	Bari
31.14% ( 0.03)	29.13% ( 0.03)	39.74% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 43.88% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.27% (

-0.07)

62.73% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.73% (

-0.05)

82.27% (

0.06)

Brescia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.44% (

-0.02)

36.56% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.65% (

-0.02)

73.34% (

0.02)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.17% (

-0.07)

30.83% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.89% (

-0.08)

67.1% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Brescia 31.14%

Bari 39.73%

Draw 29.12%

Brescia	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.72% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 31.14%	1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.12%	0-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.73%