SM
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Finland | 5 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 5 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 6 | San Marino | 5 | -17 | 0 |
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Finland | 5 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 5 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 6 | San Marino | 5 | -17 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Denmark win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Finland | Draw | Denmark |
38.35% ( 0.07) | 27.62% ( -0.07) | 34.03% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 48.8% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.06% ( 0.27) | 56.93% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.16% ( 0.22) | 77.84% ( -0.22) |
| Finland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.21% ( 0.17) | 28.79% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.36% ( 0.21) | 64.63% ( -0.22) |
| Denmark Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.53% ( 0.14) | 31.47% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.15% ( 0.16) | 67.85% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Finland | Draw | Denmark |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 38.35% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.03% |
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