SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Pafos FC had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Pafos FC win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Pafos FC |
60.58% ( 0.18) | 21.21% ( -0.07) | 18.21% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.44% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.44% ( 0.1) | 42.55% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.04% ( 0.1) | 64.95% ( -0.11) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.39% ( 0.08) | 13.6% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.25% ( 0.17) | 40.74% ( -0.18) |
| Pafos FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.02% ( -0.08) | 36.98% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.23% ( -0.07) | 73.76% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Pafos FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.96% 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 60.56% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.21% | 0-1 @ 5% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 18.21% |
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