SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 72.89%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 11.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 3-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Bolivar win it was 1-2 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Bolivar |
72.89% ( 0.06) | 16.07% ( -0.03) | 11.04% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.74% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.86% ( 0.07) | 34.14% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.97% ( 0.07) | 56.02% ( -0.07) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.89% ( 0.03) | 8.11% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.52% ( 0.07) | 28.48% ( -0.07) |
| Bolivar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.49% ( -0.01) | 41.51% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.99% ( -0.01) | 78.01% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flamengo | Draw | Bolivar |
| 2-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.82% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 72.89% | 1-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.07% | 1-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.35% Total : 11.04% |
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