Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
-0.33) 
0.15) 
