Flamengo's home record of late makes them huge favourites heading into this one, and we can see them cruising to a routine victory at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 62.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 15.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Cruzeiro
62.26% ( 0.19)	22.67% ( 0.1)	15.07% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 43.49% (

-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.18% (

-0.88)

53.82% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.71% (

-0.74)

75.29% (

0.74)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.16% (

-0.24)

16.84% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.16% (

-0.44)

46.83% (

0.44)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.3% (

-0.94)

47.7% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.99% (

-0.7)

83.01% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 62.25%

Cruzeiro 15.07%

Draw 22.67%

Flamengo	Draw	Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 14.3% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 12.74% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.53% Total : 62.25%	1-1 @ 10.59% 0-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.67%	0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.04% Total : 15.07%