While Sao Paulo will be looking to return to winning ways, they are in for a tough 90 minutes against a spirited Fortaleza side who have been simply outstanding at home in recent weeks. Zubeldia's men have managed just one away win since the start of June and we see them struggling at the Estadio Castelao.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fortaleza.
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