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Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Jul 21, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
SP

Juventude
0 - 0
Sao Paulo


Jadson (28'), Sam (35'), Lucas (51'), Lucas (90+8')
FT

Franco (12'), Luciano (23'), Zubeldia (49')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Gremio
Thursday, July 18 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Juventude 1-1 Sao Paulo

While Sao Paulo have been one of the form sides in the league recently, Juventude have defended their home patch expertly and are yet to lose a match at Arena BRB Mane Garrincha this season. The visitors are likely to enter this match as the bookmakers' favourite but we feel the hosts will be able to secure at least a share of the spoils by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
JuventudeDrawSao Paulo
28.91% (0.164 0.16) 27.38% (0.073 0.07) 43.71% (-0.238 -0.24)
Both teams to score 47.73% (-0.117 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.54% (-0.197 -0.2)57.45% (0.195 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.74% (-0.158 -0.16)78.26% (0.15599999999999 0.16)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.59% (0.024000000000001 0.02)35.41% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.82% (0.025000000000002 0.03)72.17% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (-0.212 -0.21)26.09% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.85% (-0.286 -0.29)61.15% (0.284 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Juventude 28.91%
    Sao Paulo 43.7%
    Draw 27.37%
JuventudeDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.077 0.08)
2-1 @ 6.69% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.98% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.31% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.72% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 28.91%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.24% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 12.41% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.34% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.73% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 43.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Juventude 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, July 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 1-1 Internacional
Saturday, July 13 at 9.15pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Internacional 1-2 Juventude
Wednesday, July 10 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Juventude 3-0 Gremio
Sunday, July 7 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 2-0 Juventude
Thursday, July 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 Juventude
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Gremio
Thursday, July 18 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Sao Paulo
Friday, July 12 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Bragantino
Sunday, July 7 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-2 Sao Paulo
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-1 Bahia
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Criciuma
Friday, June 28 at 12am in Brasileiro


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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