SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 70.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Canada had a probability of 11.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| France | Draw | Canada |
70.7% ( 0.29) | 17.89% ( -0.14) | 11.41% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 48.17% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.04% ( 0.22) | 41.95% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.64% ( 0.23) | 64.36% ( -0.23) |
| France Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.37% ( 0.13) | 10.62% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.55% ( 0.31) | 34.44% ( -0.31) |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.89% ( -0.13) | 46.1% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.2% ( -0.1) | 81.8% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| France | Draw | Canada |
| 2-0 @ 12.31% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.76% 5-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 4% Total : 70.7% | 1-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.79% Total : 17.89% | 0-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 11.41% |
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