SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 74.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 10.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 3-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.78%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fylde | Draw | Oxford City |
74.22% ( -0.22) | 15.09% ( 0.11) | 10.69% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 56.51% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.84% ( -0.26) | 30.16% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.62% ( -0.31) | 51.38% ( 0.31) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.09% ( -0.1) | 6.91% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.63% ( -0.27) | 25.36% ( 0.27) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.7% ( 0) | 39.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.99% ( 0) | 76.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fylde | Draw | Oxford City |
| 2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.1% Total : 74.22% | 1-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 15.09% | 1-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 10.69% |
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