Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 52.61%. A win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Consadole Sapporo win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gamba Osaka in this match.