Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 45.45%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 27.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Consadole Sapporo in this match.