Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 54.25%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Consadole Sapporo would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
