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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
29.01% ( 0.91) | 25.06% ( 0.67) | 45.92% ( -1.58) |
| Both teams to score 54.87% ( -1.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.76% ( -2.37) | 48.25% ( 2.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.61% ( -2.2) | 70.4% ( 2.21) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.49% ( -0.56) | 30.51% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.27% ( -0.66) | 66.73% ( 0.67) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.96% ( -1.63) | 21.04% ( 1.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.17% ( -2.61) | 53.84% ( 2.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gateshead | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.07% Total : 29.01% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.61)2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.34)0-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.25)1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.24)0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.17)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.58% Total : 45.92% |
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