SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | Rochdale |
49.55% ( 0.69) | 22.95% ( 0.06) | 27.5% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 60.96% ( -0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.29% ( -0.82) | 39.71% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.93% ( -0.86) | 62.06% ( 0.86) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.75% ( -0.06) | 16.25% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.22% ( -0.1) | 45.78% ( 0.11) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.79% ( -0.93) | 27.21% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.38% ( -1.23) | 62.62% ( 1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gateshead | Draw | Rochdale |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 3.52% Total : 49.55% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.94% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.97% Total : 27.5% |
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