While Sassuolo may be buoyed by last weekend's win over the Serie A champions, they are not expected to follow it up with success at Genoa, who have avoided losing at the Marassi to any of the struggling sides, with their home defeats against Fiorentina, Milan, Atalanta, Monza and Lazio.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 52.28%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 0-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
-0.36) 
0.22) 
