SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Genoa |
46.95% ( -0) | 25.27% | 27.78% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 53.37% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.18% ( 0) | 49.82% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.18% ( 0) | 71.82% ( -0) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.77% ( -0) | 21.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.86% | 54.14% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.76% ( 0) | 32.24% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.26% ( 0) | 68.74% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 9.3% 2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.81% 3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.49% Total : 46.94% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.85% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 7.75% 1-2 @ 6.8% 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.64% Total : 27.78% |
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