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Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 9, 2021 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
SL

Genoa
1 - 2
Sassuolo

Zappacosta (85')
Zappacosta (30'), Cassata (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Raspadori (14'), Berardi (66')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Genoa win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sassuolo in this match.

Result
GenoaDrawSassuolo
30.92%24.48%44.61%
Both teams to score 57.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.28%44.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.91%67.09%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.57%27.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.09%62.92%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83%20.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.54%52.46%
Score Analysis
    Genoa 30.92%
    Sassuolo 44.61%
    Draw 24.47%
GenoaDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 7.41%
1-0 @ 7.16%
2-0 @ 4.63%
3-1 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 2.56%
3-0 @ 2%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 30.92%
1-1 @ 11.45%
2-2 @ 5.93%
0-0 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.47%
1-2 @ 9.17%
0-1 @ 8.86%
0-2 @ 7.09%
1-3 @ 4.9%
0-3 @ 3.78%
2-3 @ 3.17%
1-4 @ 1.96%
0-4 @ 1.52%
2-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 44.61%

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