SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 65.35%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Westerlo had a probability of 15.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Westerlo win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Westerlo |
65.35% ( 0.32) | 18.66% ( -0.1) | 15.99% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 58.82% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.4% ( 0.04) | 34.6% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.46% ( 0.05) | 56.54% ( -0.05) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.06% ( 0.09) | 9.94% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.12% ( 0.2) | 32.88% ( -0.2) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.31% ( -0.23) | 34.69% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.58% ( -0.24) | 71.42% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Westerlo |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.29% ( 0)5-1 @ 2% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 4.32% Total : 65.35% | 1-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 18.66% | 1-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.56% Total : 15.99% |
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