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Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 4
Aug 18, 2024 at 6.15pm UK
GHELAMCO-arena
W

Gent
4 - 1
Westerlo

Gerkens (27'), Fernandez Pardo (29'), Gandelman (32'), Delorge (80')
Watanabe (61'), Gandelman (82')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Sayyadmanesh (41')
Rommens (25')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gent 3-2 Silkeborg
Thursday, August 15 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Westerlo 4-3 Union SG
Saturday, August 10 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Gent 2-1 Westerlo

Buoyed by their midweek victory over Silkeborg, Gent will return to league action with sky-high confidence as they look to snap their two-game losing run. While Westerlo are currently firing on all cylinders, their record against the Buffalos offers little optimism, and we see them struggling this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 65.35%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Westerlo had a probability of 15.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Westerlo win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.

Result
GentDrawWesterlo
65.35% (0.319 0.32) 18.66% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 15.99% (-0.217 -0.22)
Both teams to score 58.82% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.4% (0.044000000000011 0.04)34.6% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.46% (0.048000000000002 0.05)56.54% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.06% (0.090000000000003 0.09)9.94% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.12% (0.203 0.2)32.88% (-0.201 -0.2)
Westerlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.31% (-0.23 -0.23)34.69% (0.233 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.58% (-0.244 -0.24)71.42% (0.248 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Gent 65.35%
    Westerlo 15.99%
    Draw 18.66%
GentDrawWesterlo
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.19% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.96% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.49% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.07% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 4.32% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.08% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.89% (0.032 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 65.35%
1-1 @ 8.43% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.45% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 18.66%
1-2 @ 4.46% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-1 @ 3.65% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.93% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 15.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gent 3-2 Silkeborg
Thursday, August 15 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Charleroi 1-0 Gent
Sunday, August 11 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Silkeborg 2-2 Gent
Thursday, August 8 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Gent 1-2 Dender
Sunday, August 4 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Vikingur 0-3 Gent
Thursday, August 1 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Kortrijk 0-1 Gent
Sunday, July 28 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Westerlo 4-3 Union SG
Saturday, August 10 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Mechelen 2-4 Westerlo
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Westerlo 3-0 Cercle Brugge
Sunday, July 28 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Westerlo 0-0 Helmond
Saturday, July 20 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Leuven 1-2 Westerlo
Saturday, May 25 at 7.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Westerlo 0-2 Mechelen
Saturday, May 18 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League


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