SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 53.45%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Westerlo |
53.45% ( 0.31) | 22.79% ( -0.09) | 23.76% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 57.69% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.68% ( 0.22) | 42.32% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.27% ( 0.22) | 64.73% ( -0.21) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.18% ( 0.18) | 15.82% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55% ( 0.34) | 45% ( -0.33) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.53% ( -0.06) | 31.47% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.15% ( -0.07) | 67.85% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Westerlo |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.54% Total : 53.45% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.78% | 1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 23.76% |
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