SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Hungary | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Scotland | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Hungary | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Scotland | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Hungary win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Germany | Draw | Hungary |
56.53% ( -0.27) | 22.83% ( 0.07) | 20.65% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 53.28% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.86% ( -0.03) | 46.15% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.56% ( -0.03) | 68.45% ( 0.04) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.89% ( -0.11) | 16.12% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.47% ( -0.19) | 45.53% ( 0.2) |
| Hungary Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.52% ( 0.18) | 36.48% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.73% ( 0.18) | 73.27% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Germany | Draw | Hungary |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 56.53% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.82% | 0-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.76% Total : 20.65% |
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