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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Chaves |
46.51% ( 0.39) | 25.55% ( 0.15) | 27.94% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 52.59% ( -0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.11% ( -0.9) | 50.89% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.23% ( -0.8) | 72.77% ( 0.8) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( -0.2) | 21.87% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.88% ( -0.3) | 55.12% ( 0.31) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.31% ( -0.88) | 32.69% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.76% ( -0.99) | 69.24% ( 0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Chaves |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.32% Total : 46.51% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.56% Total : 27.94% |
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