Even though Estrela should take confidence from last week's victory, they may have to settle for a point in their visit to Gil Vicente.
The home side have suffered heavy losses to two possible title contenders but have competed commendably in their other five Liga matches.
This one could end with both sides sharing the spoils in Barcelos.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 56.72%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
-0.49) 
0.34) 
