Conclusions cannot be drawn from Famalicao winning two on the trot on their turf — having triumphed in fewer than half of 17 home games last season (six wins, six draws and five defeats) — due to the small sample size.
One thing that has stayed the same is Gil Vicente's wretched away record — they lost 12 on the road in 2023-24, drawing two and notching two victories — and have followed that with a 3-0 loss and goalless encounter this term, leaving little choice but to back Fama for a marginal success.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 46.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
-0.09) 
0.14) 
