While they made hard work of last week's win over the league's new boys, Gil Vicente's seeming superior match-winning quality and slightly better form to their hosts mean we are backing Pinheiro to secure a win over his old side Estoril this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 35.93%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Gil Vicente
35.04% ( -0.26)	29.03% ( -0.02)	35.93% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 44.79% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.07% (

0.07)

61.93% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.32% (

0.06)

81.68% (

-0.06)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.63% (

-0.14)

33.37% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.01% (

-0.15)

70% (

0.15)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.22% (

0.22)

32.78% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.65% (

0.25)

69.35% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 35.03%

Gil Vicente 35.93%

Draw 29.03%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 12% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 35.03%	1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.6% Total : 29.03%	0-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.93%