SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 21.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Porto |
21.06% ( 0.03) | 22.82% ( 0) | 56.12% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.94% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.43% ( 0.03) | 45.57% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.1% ( 0.03) | 67.9% ( -0.03) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.26% ( 0.05) | 35.73% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.49% ( 0.05) | 72.51% ( -0.05) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.94% ( -0) | 16.05% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.57% ( -0) | 45.42% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 5.9% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.04% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.91% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 21.07% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.81% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.02% 0-3 @ 5.85% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.75% 0-4 @ 2.68% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.01% 0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 56.11% |
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