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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
P

Farense
1 - 3
Porto

Duarte (59' pen.)
Silva (25')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Evanilson (35', 76'), Varela (41')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Farense
Saturday, January 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 5-0 Moreirense
Saturday, January 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: SC Farense 1-3 Porto

While Farense have been impressive this season, they have struggled against the league's big-hitters and their historical record in this contest does not bode well for their chances. Porto will know the importance of securing the points in this one, and we fancy them to get the job done fairly comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 67.1%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 12.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.6%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
SC FarenseDrawPorto
12.9% (0.0039999999999996 0) 20% (0.0010000000000012 0) 67.1% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.47% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)47.52% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.27% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)69.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.87% (0.011000000000003 0.01)47.13% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.42% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)82.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.78%13.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.03% (0.0019999999999953 0)39.97% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 12.9%
    Porto 67.09%
    Draw 20%
SC FarenseDrawPorto
1-0 @ 4.69%
2-1 @ 3.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 1.76%
3-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 12.9%
1-1 @ 9.48%
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 3.61% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 20%
0-2 @ 12.75%
0-1 @ 12.6%
1-2 @ 9.6%
0-3 @ 8.6% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 6.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 4.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 1.76%
1-5 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 67.09%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Farense
Saturday, January 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Farense
Friday, January 12 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 1-0 Gil Vicente
Saturday, January 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 4-0 Farense
Saturday, December 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 0-0 Estrela Amadora
Friday, December 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 1-1 Farense
Friday, December 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 5-0 Moreirense
Saturday, January 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Braga
Sunday, January 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-4 Porto
Tuesday, January 9 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Porto
Friday, January 5 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 1-0 Chaves
Friday, December 29 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Leixoes
Saturday, December 23 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga


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