SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.52%. A win for Braga had a probability of 20.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 1-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (5.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Braga |
58.52% ( -0.02) | 20.61% ( 0.01) | 20.86% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.32% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.3% ( -0.02) | 35.7% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.23% ( -0.02) | 57.77% ( 0.02) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.97% ( -0.01) | 12.03% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.49% ( -0.02) | 37.51% ( 0.02) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.71% ( -0) | 30.29% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.53% ( -0) | 66.47% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Braga |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% 2-0 @ 8.17% ( 0)1-0 @ 7.72% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.89% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.77% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.11% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.05% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 58.52% | 1-1 @ 9.22% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.61% | 1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.6% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 20.86% |
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