SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 85.62%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 4.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 4-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.48%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-2 (1.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Gil Vicente |
85.62% ( -0.06) | 9.65% ( 0.03) | 4.72% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.31% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.44% ( -0.06) | 25.56% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.36% ( -0.07) | 45.64% ( 0.07) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.94% ( -0.02) | 4.06% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.94% ( -0.06) | 17.06% ( 0.06) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.31% ( 0.05) | 50.68% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.87% ( 0.04) | 85.12% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 3-0 @ 11.28% 2-0 @ 10.55% 4-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 6.14% ( -0)5-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0)7-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.34% ( -0)7-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.85% Total : 85.62% | 1-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 9.65% | 1-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 4.72% |
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