Sunday's game sees two of the most in-form sides in the Portuguese Primeira Liga square off and this makes for an exciting watch. While we expect the Gilistas to push the hosts to the limit, we predict Porto will come away with all three points given they boast a significantly superior and more experienced crop of players. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 66.1%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 13.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Porto	Draw	Gil Vicente
66.1%	20.04%	13.86%

Both teams to score 48.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.39%

45.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.06%

67.94%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.07%

12.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.62%

39.38%

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.54%

44.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.51%

80.49%

Score Analysis

Porto 66.09%

Gil Vicente 13.86%

Draw 20.04%

Porto	Draw	Gil Vicente
2-0 @ 12.02% 1-0 @ 11.75% 2-1 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 6.65% 4-0 @ 4.19% 4-1 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.7% 5-0 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.94% Total : 66.09%	1-1 @ 9.53% 0-0 @ 5.75% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.81% Total : 20.04%	0-1 @ 4.66% 1-2 @ 3.86% 0-2 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.07% 1-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.33% Total : 13.86%