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A
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 12, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
P
Arouca
3 - 2
Porto
Mujica (1'), Cristo (30' pen.), Jason (60')
Santos (39'), Jason (63'), Busquets (74')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Evanilson (9' pen.), Conceicao (86')
Cardoso (69'), Conceicao (88'), Wendell (88')
Cardoso (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Arouca
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 0-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, February 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 1-2 Porto

While Arouca are proving themselves no pushovers, Porto have regularly beaten their regional rivals in the past and are in the mood to release some frustration; following an unlucky draw and an abandoned match last week, a slim away win could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 13.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.12%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
AroucaDrawPorto
13.94% (-0.042 -0.04) 20.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 65.71% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 47.61% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)46.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)69.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.97% (-0.064 -0.06)45.03% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.04% (-0.052 -0.05)80.95% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.6% (0.016999999999996 0.02)13.39% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.68% (0.033999999999999 0.03)40.32% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 13.94%
    Porto 65.7%
    Draw 20.35%
AroucaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 3.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 1.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 13.94%
1-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 20.35%
0-2 @ 12.18% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 12.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.72% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 8.17% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.52% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-4 @ 4.11% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 1.65% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 65.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Arouca
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 5-0 Vizela
Sunday, January 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-2 Arouca
Saturday, January 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Arouca
Monday, January 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 1-0 Arouca
Wednesday, January 10 at 8pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Benfica
Saturday, January 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 0-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, February 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 1-3 Porto
Sunday, January 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 5-0 Moreirense
Saturday, January 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Braga
Sunday, January 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-4 Porto
Tuesday, January 9 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Porto
Friday, January 5 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

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