Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 66.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 13.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Moreirense |
66.63% (![]() | 20.1% (![]() | 13.26% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.83% (![]() | 47.16% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.6% (![]() | 69.4% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.74% (![]() | 13.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.97% (![]() | 40.03% (![]() |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.67% (![]() | 46.32% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.03% (![]() | 81.97% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Moreirense |
2-0 @ 12.53% (![]() 1-0 @ 12.4% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.65% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.45% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.5% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.27% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 2.72% Total : 66.62% | 1-1 @ 9.55% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.14% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.71% ( ![]() Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.1% | 0-1 @ 4.72% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.95% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 1.16% Total : 13.26% |
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