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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Vizela |
43.12% ( -0.14) | 26.74% ( 0.25) | 30.13% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 50.22% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.43% ( -1.02) | 54.57% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.08% ( -0.86) | 75.91% ( 0.85) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( -0.53) | 25.09% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.22% ( -0.73) | 59.78% ( 0.73) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.04% ( -0.61) | 32.96% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.46% ( -0.68) | 69.54% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.41% Total : 43.12% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.13% |
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