SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
27.78% ( 0.07) | 24.99% ( 0.02) | 47.23% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.26% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.35% ( -0.05) | 48.65% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.23% ( -0.05) | 70.76% ( 0.05) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% ( 0.03) | 31.63% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.96% ( 0.03) | 68.04% ( -0.03) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.36% ( -0.06) | 20.63% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.8% ( -0.1) | 53.2% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 27.78% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 47.23% |
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