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Taca de Portugal | Round of 16
Jan 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Do Vizela
A

Vizela
1 - 0
Arouca

Galovic (76' og.)
Pereira (13'), Lacava (35')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Galovic (4')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Round of 16 clash between Vizela and Arouca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Vizela
Saturday, January 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Benfica
Saturday, January 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vizela in this match.

Result
VizelaDrawArouca
37.21% (1.245 1.25) 26.14% (0.353 0.35) 36.65% (-1.601 -1.6)
Both teams to score 53.75% (-1.159 -1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.21% (-1.494 -1.49)50.79% (1.493 1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.32% (-1.333 -1.33)72.68% (1.33 1.33)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.47% (0.013000000000005 0.01)26.52% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.27% (0.018000000000001 0.02)61.72% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15% (-1.592 -1.59)26.85% (1.59 1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.85% (-2.139 -2.14)62.15% (2.138 2.14)
Score Analysis
    Vizela 37.21%
    Arouca 36.65%
    Draw 26.14%
VizelaDrawArouca
1-0 @ 9.45% (0.559 0.56)
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.131 0.13)
2-0 @ 6.27% (0.374 0.37)
3-1 @ 3.65% (0.059 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.77% (0.166 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.21%
1-1 @ 12.42% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 7.12% (0.418 0.42)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.248 -0.25)
0-2 @ 6.16% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.28 -0.28)
0-3 @ 2.7% (-0.212 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.185 -0.19)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 36.65%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Vizela
Saturday, January 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 0-0 Moreirense
Saturday, December 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Vizela
Saturday, December 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 1-3 Braga
Friday, December 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 2-1 Vizela
Friday, December 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 2-1 Estrela Amadora
Friday, November 24 at 7.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Benfica
Saturday, January 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-4 Arouca
Thursday, December 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 3-0 Gil Vicente
Saturday, December 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 2-2 Rio Ave
Sunday, December 10 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 0-4 Arouca
Sunday, December 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 2-2 Boavista (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, November 26 at 8pm in Taca de Portugal


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