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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Do Vizela
SL

Vizela
2 - 5
Sporting Lisbon

Soro (13'), Essende (63')
Buntic (37'), Anderson (66'), Bustamante (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gyokeres (45+8', 86'), Trincao (46'), Paulinho (57'), Coates (72')
Hjulmand (16')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 1-4 Boavista
Sunday, January 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vizela 0-3 Sporting Lisbon

The loss of several key players to international duty certainly has not seemed to affect Sporting Lisbon thus far, and we again see them having far too much for a struggling side on Thursday. With an abundance of quality in all departments, particularly going forward, Amorim's side should cruise to another victory in their bid to build a lead in the race for the Primeira Liga title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.85%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 14.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.85%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
VizelaDrawSporting Lisbon
14.19% (0.133 0.13) 18.96% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 66.85% (-0.154 -0.15)
Both teams to score 52.97% (0.274 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.02% (0.181 0.18)39.98% (-0.175 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.66% (0.187 0.19)62.35% (-0.179 -0.18)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.56% (0.302 0.3)40.44% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.95% (0.271 0.27)77.05% (-0.264 -0.26)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.93% (0.016000000000005 0.02)11.07% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.57% (0.024999999999991 0.02)35.44% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Vizela 14.19%
    Sporting Lisbon 66.85%
    Draw 18.96%
VizelaDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 4.05%
2-1 @ 4.04% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 1.84% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.34% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.22% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 14.19%
1-1 @ 8.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.96%
0-2 @ 10.84% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-1 @ 9.85% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.82% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.96% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 7.2% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 4.38% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 3.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.26% (0.03 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.79% (0.017 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.74% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 66.85%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Vizela 1-4 Boavista
Sunday, January 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 1-0 Arouca
Wednesday, January 10 at 8pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Vizela
Saturday, January 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 0-0 Moreirense
Saturday, December 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Vizela
Saturday, December 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 1-3 Braga
Friday, December 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, January 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 4-0 Tondela
Tuesday, January 9 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-1 Estoril
Friday, January 5 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, December 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Tondela 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, December 23 at 6pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Porto
Monday, December 18 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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