Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Vizela |
31.26% ( -0.01) | 27.5% ( 0) | 41.23% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.44% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.93% ( -0.01) | 57.06% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.05% ( -0.01) | 77.94% ( 0) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.56% ( -0.02) | 33.44% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.93% ( -0.02) | 70.07% ( 0.01) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.77% ( -0) | 27.22% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.36% ( -0) | 62.64% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | Vizela |
1-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.26% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 11.84% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 7.71% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.66% 0-3 @ 3.34% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.95% Total : 41.23% |
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