Moreirense have defied all expectations this season and are putting together a truly special run of results, unbeaten in their last nine league matches, which included holding Benfica to a draw earlier this month. Vizela have lost four of their last five matches at home, and we feel they may add another loss to that record in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Vizela	Draw	Moreirense
30.31% ( 0.36)	26.63% ( -0.08)	43.06% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 50.65% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.95% (

0.45)

54.05% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.52% (

0.38)

75.48% (

-0.38)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.43% (

0.5)

32.56% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.9% (

0.56)

69.1% (

-0.56)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.11% (

0.06)

24.89% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.5% (

0.09)

59.5% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Vizela 30.31%

Moreirense 43.06%

Draw 26.62%

Vizela	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.31%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.62%	0-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 43.06%