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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 23, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
1 - 0
Santa Fe

Torres (90+2')
Mamut (25'), Palazzo (87')
Sanchez (45+1'), Bedoya (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mosquera (22'), Aja (39'), Enamorado (76')
Morelo (42'), Ariel Romero (45'), Daniel Roa (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Gimnasia and Santa Fe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Godoy Cruz 2-0 Gimnasia
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Universitario 2-0 Santa Fe
Friday, May 5 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 45.73%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Santa Fe had a probability of 25.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Santa Fe win it was 0-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gimnasia in this match.

Result
GimnasiaDrawSanta Fe
45.73% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 28.31% (0.0010000000000012 0) 25.96% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 43.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)62.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.24% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)81.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)27.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.42% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)62.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Santa Fe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.6% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)40.4% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.99% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)77.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 45.73%
    Santa Fe 25.96%
    Draw 28.3%
GimnasiaDrawSanta Fe
1-0 @ 14.3%
2-0 @ 9.32%
2-1 @ 8.45%
3-0 @ 4.05%
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.32%
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 45.73%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 10.97%
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 28.3%
0-1 @ 9.95%
1-2 @ 5.88%
0-2 @ 4.51%
1-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.36%
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 25.96%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 2-0 Gimnasia
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 1-0 Lanus
Monday, May 15 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 0-1 Gimnasia
Monday, May 8 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-2 Goias
Thursday, May 4 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Gimnasia 1-1 Tigre
Saturday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-4 Gimnasia
Tuesday, April 25 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Universitario 2-0 Santa Fe
Friday, May 5 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Santa Fe 2-1 Gimnasia
Wednesday, April 19 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Goias 0-0 Santa Fe
Tuesday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Rionegro 1-2 Santa Fe
Thursday, March 9 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Santa Fe 0-0 Junior
Tuesday, May 25 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Santa Fe
Thursday, May 20 at 1am in Copa Libertadores


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