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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 15
May 8, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona

Arsenal
0 - 1
Gimnasia


Pons (18'), Lucero (55'), Toloza (71'), Gariglio (72'), Pombo (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tarragona (43')
Miramon (8')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Gimnasia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huracan 2-1 Arsenal
Friday, April 28 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-2 Goias
Thursday, May 4 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 46.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 26.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawGimnasia
46.17% (0.012 0.01) 27.54% (0.0019999999999989 0) 26.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.62% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.68% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)59.32% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.28% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)79.71% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)25.7% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)60.62% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.4% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)38.59% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.66% (-0.026 -0.03)75.34% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 46.17%
    Gimnasia 26.28%
    Draw 27.54%
Arsenal SarandiDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 13.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.41%
4-1 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 46.17%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 9.92% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.54%
0-1 @ 9.44%
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 26.28%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Huracan 2-1 Arsenal
Friday, April 28 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Union
Saturday, April 22 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-0 Arsenal
Monday, April 17 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 2-3 Godoy Cruz
Thursday, April 13 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 3-0 Arsenal
Friday, April 7 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: C. Cordoba 1-0 Arsenal
Tuesday, April 4 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-2 Goias
Thursday, May 4 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Gimnasia 1-1 Tigre
Saturday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-4 Gimnasia
Tuesday, April 25 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Santa Fe 2-1 Gimnasia
Wednesday, April 19 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-2 Belgrano
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-0 Gimnasia
Thursday, April 13 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division


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