Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.58%) and 2-1 (7.48%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (12.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gimnasia in this match.

Result
Gimnasia	Draw	Lanus
38.25% ( -0.3)	29.89% ( 0.18)	31.86% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 42.09% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35% (

-0.55)

65% (

0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.11% (

-0.39)

83.89% (

0.38)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.1% (

-0.47)

32.9% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.52% (

-0.53)

69.47% (

0.53)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.73% (

-0.22)

37.27% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.95% (

-0.22)

74.05% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Gimnasia 38.25%

Lanus 31.86%

Draw 29.88%

Gimnasia	Draw	Lanus
1-0 @ 13.63% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.62% Total : 38.25%	1-1 @ 13.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.88%	0-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.78% Total : 31.86%