If Real Sociedad were at full strength for this match, we would be backing the visitors to claim a point, but they will once again be missing some important players, and we are expecting Girona to navigate their way to yet another three points in Spain's top flight.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Girona had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
-0.47) 
0.35) 
