SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Sevilla |
46.64% ( -0.07) | 23.64% ( 0.06) | 29.71% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 60.18% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.53% ( -0.29) | 41.47% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.13% ( -0.29) | 63.86% ( 0.29) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.98% ( -0.14) | 18.02% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.1% ( -0.24) | 48.9% ( 0.24) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.4% ( -0.14) | 26.6% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.18% ( -0.19) | 61.82% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Sevilla |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.69% Total : 46.65% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 29.71% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
