Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
44.8% (![]() | 24.84% (![]() | 30.35% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.39% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.39% (![]() | 46.61% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.12% (![]() | 68.88% (![]() |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.14% (![]() | 20.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.45% (![]() | 53.55% (![]() |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.26% (![]() | 28.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.42% (![]() | 64.58% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.4% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.18% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.37% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.8% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.85% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 2.66% Total : 44.8% | 1-1 @ 11.71% (![]() 0-0 @ 6% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.72% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.24% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 7.48% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.3% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.35% |
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