This has the potential to be a tricky match for Girona, and it would not be a complete shock if Almeria were able to hold the title challengers to a draw on Sunday. Girona are very much in the winning habit at the moment, though, and we are backing them to navigate their way to an important three points here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 48.73%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Almeria win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.04) 
