SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Girona had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Girona |
43.27% ( 0.04) | 24.92% ( 0.01) | 31.82% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.84% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.66% ( -0.03) | 46.35% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.37% ( -0.03) | 68.63% ( 0.03) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.56% ( 0) | 21.45% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.54% ( 0) | 54.47% ( 0) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.36% ( -0.04) | 27.65% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.81% ( -0.05) | 63.2% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 43.27% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 31.82% |
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