SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gnistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gnistan | Draw | Oulu |
48.29% ( -0.12) | 23.46% ( 0.06) | 28.24% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.75% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.42% ( -0.23) | 41.57% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.02% ( -0.23) | 63.97% ( 0.22) |
| Gnistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.58% ( -0.13) | 17.42% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.14% ( -0.23) | 47.85% ( 0.22) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.35% ( -0.08) | 27.65% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.81% ( -0.1) | 63.19% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gnistan | Draw | Oulu |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.91% Total : 48.3% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 28.24% |
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