SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 59.86%. A win for NEC had a probability of 21.02% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (5.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | NEC |
59.86% ( -0.94) | 19.13% ( 0.37) | 21.02% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 67.34% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.89% ( -0.98) | 28.11% ( 0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.12% ( -1.23) | 48.88% ( 1.23) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.62% ( -0.5) | 9.38% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.43% ( -1.2) | 31.57% ( 1.2) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.31% ( -0.12) | 25.7% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.39% ( -0.17) | 60.61% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | NEC |
| 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.09)1-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.09)4-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.2% Total : 59.86% | 1-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.51% Total : 19.13% | 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.08% Total : 21.02% |
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