SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 66.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 15.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 3-1 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
66.82% ( 0.09) | 17.92% ( 0.06) | 15.26% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 59.85% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.52% ( -0.61) | 32.47% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.88% ( -0.71) | 54.12% ( 0.7) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.98% ( -0.14) | 9.01% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.29% ( -0.34) | 30.7% ( 0.34) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.78% ( -0.57) | 34.21% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.09% ( -0.62) | 70.91% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 2.07% 5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 5.03% Total : 66.82% | 1-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.27% Total : 17.92% | 1-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.77% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.55% Total : 15.26% |
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